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New York Knicks — 2025-26 Start of Season Analysis
New York Knicks

New York Knicks

2025-26 Start of Season Analysis  ·  Eastern Conference  ·  Atlantic Division  ·  NBA

2024-25 End of Season Recap

The 2024-25 New York Knicks were everything the franchise had been building toward — and yet, not quite enough. After years of incremental progress under Tom Thibodeau, the Knicks posted a 51-31 record, good for the 3rd seed in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Atlantic Division. It was the franchise's best regular season since the 2012-13 campaign, and for the first time since 2000, the Knicks reached the Eastern Conference Finals.

The offense was elite. Powered by the Jalen BrunsonKarl-Anthony Towns partnership — the most productive pick-and-pop duo in the league — New York posted a 118.5 offensive rating (5th) and scored 115.8 PPG (9th). The shooting was lethal: 49.6% from the field (4th), 37.6% from three (4th), and 80.7% from the line (5th). The defense was more of a mixed bag — a 114.3 defensive rating (14th) that fluctuated throughout the season, anchored by OG Anunoby's perimeter work but exposed at times by a lack of rim protection when Mitchell Robinson sat. The +4.2 net rating (8th) confirmed what the eye test showed: a legitimately good team, but one with specific vulnerabilities that elite competition could exploit.

Category2024-25 StatNBA Rank
Record51-313rd in East
Points Per Game115.89th
Opponent PPG111.712th
Net Rating+4.28th
Offensive Rating118.55th
Defensive Rating114.314th
FG%49.6%4th
3P%37.6%4th
FT%80.7%5th
RPG46.35th
APG27.611th
TOV/G13.16th fewest
Pace96.726th

The slow pace (26th) was a Thibodeau hallmark — grind possessions, control tempo, and lean on half-court execution. It worked in the regular season because Brunson and Towns were devastating in deliberate sets. The team's discipline was remarkable: 13.1 turnovers per game (6th fewest) reflected a roster that valued the basketball. 46.3 rebounds per game (5th) was powered by Towns' 12.8 boards and Hart's 9.6, giving New York a size advantage most nights. The question that lingered all season — and ultimately answered itself in the playoffs — was whether the defense was good enough to win a championship.

2024-25 Postseason

Eastern Conference Finals

The Knicks' postseason run was the franchise's deepest in 25 years — exhilarating, validating, and ultimately heartbreaking. New York fought through two grueling six-game series before falling to Indiana in the Eastern Conference Finals, two wins short of the NBA Finals.

RoundOpponentResultKey Moment
First RoundDetroit PistonsW, 4-2Survived scares in close games; Brunson averaged 28+ PPG
Second RoundBoston CelticsW, 4-2Signature Game 6 blowout (119-81); dethroned defending champs
Conf. FinalsIndiana PacersL, 2-4OT heartbreak in G1 (135-138); Pacers' pace too much

First Round vs. Detroit (W, 4-2): The Pistons made it uncomfortable. Detroit stole Game 2 (100-94) and Game 5 (106-103), forcing the Knicks to close it out in six. Brunson was brilliant throughout, but the series exposed New York's tendency to sleepwalk through early possessions against inferior opponents. Still, a 4-2 first-round win against a young Pistons team was the expected outcome.

Second Round vs. Boston (W, 4-2): This was the series that defined the Knicks' season. New York stunned the defending champions by taking Games 1 and 2 at TD Garden (108-105, 91-90), survived a Celtics counterpunch in Games 3 and 5, then delivered an all-time performance in Game 6 — a 119-81 demolition that ended Boston's title defense. Towns dominated inside, Brunson orchestrated the offense, and Anunoby locked down Jayson Tatum. It was the Knicks' best playoff game in a generation.

Conference Finals vs. Indiana (L, 2-4): The wheels came off against the Pacers' relentless pace. Game 1 was an overtime classic — 138-135 Indiana — and the Knicks never recovered from the emotional blow of losing a game they led in the final minute of regulation. Tyrese Haliburton's triple-double in Game 4 (IND 130, NYK 121) gave Indiana a commanding 3-1 lead. The Knicks showed heart, winning Game 5 at home (111-94), but Indiana closed it out in Game 6 (125-108) behind 31 points from Pascal Siakam. The core issue was clear: New York's half-court grind couldn't survive against Indiana's transition attack, and the bench depth — a season-long concern — finally broke under playoff intensity.

2024-25 Roster Performance

The Knicks' top-five was one of the best starting units in basketball. Brunson was an All-NBA performer, Towns was an All-Star in his first full Knicks season, and the supporting cast of Bridges, Anunoby, and Hart provided the perfect blend of defense, shooting, and effort. The problem was everything beyond the starters — a bench that ranked among the worst in the league and a lack of depth that Thibodeau's shortened rotations exacerbated.

PlayerPPGRPGAPGFG%3P%GPNotes
Jalen Brunson26.02.97.348.8%38.3%65All-NBA, franchise cornerstone
Karl-Anthony Towns24.412.83.152.6%36.5%74All-Star, elite inside-out scoring
OG Anunoby16.44.82.248.1%38.4%65Premier two-way wing, lockdown defender
Mikal Bridges17.63.23.746.1%36.8%82Ironman durability, 3-and-D connector
Josh Hart13.69.65.952.5%33.3%77Triple-double threat, ultimate glue guy
Miles McBride9.52.52.940.6%36.9%64Defensive spark, 6th man candidate
Mitchell Robinson5.15.90.866.1%0.0%17Injury-plagued, elite rim protector when healthy

Brunson was the engine. His 26.0 PPG on 48.8% shooting made him one of the five best offensive players in the league, and his 7.3 assists showed he'd evolved from a scorer into a true floor general. The only concern was durability — he missed 17 games, and the Knicks were 9-8 without him. Towns was the acquisition that justified the blockbuster trade. His 24.4/12.8 on 52.6% shooting gave New York something it hadn't had since Patrick Ewing: a dominant, double-double center who could also stretch the floor (36.5% from three). Bridges' 82-game ironman season (17.6 PPG, 36.8% 3P) provided stability, while Anunoby's two-way impact (16.4 PPG, 38.4% 3P, elite perimeter defense) was worth every penny of his max extension.

The real X-factor was Josh Hart. His 13.6/9.6/5.9 line was absurd for a player who starts at power forward — a rebounding machine, a willing passer, and the emotional pulse of the team. Robinson's injury woes (17 games) robbed New York of its best rim protector and forced the team into small-ball lineups that struggled defensively. McBride showed flashes as a defensive stopper off the bench but lacked the shot creation to anchor second units.

Offseason Moves

The Knicks' offseason was defined by one seismic decision: firing Tom Thibodeau and hiring Mike Brown. After five seasons, three playoff appearances, and the franchise's first ECF berth in 25 years, ownership decided that Thibs' rigid rotations and grind-it-out style had hit its ceiling. Brown — a two-time Coach of the Year with championship experience as a Golden State assistant and head coaching stints in Cleveland, L.A., and Sacramento — represents a philosophical shift toward deeper rotations, more ball movement, and a modern offensive approach.

MovePlayer / CoachDetails
Coaching ChangeMike Brown (hired)Replaces Tom Thibodeau — deeper rotations, more ball movement
ExtensionMikal Bridges4yr/$150M beginning 2026-27 — locked in as long-term core
Signed (FA)Guerschon Yabusele2yr/$11.28M (taxpayer MLE) — versatile forward, bench scoring
Signed (FA)Jordan Clarkson1yr minimum — 2021 6MOY, instant offense off the bench
Team OptionAriel HukportiExercised — developmental center depth
Draft (No. 51)Mohamed DiawaraDraft-and-stash wing prospect
Coaching (fired)Tom ThibodeauLet go after 5 seasons despite ECF run
Departed (FA)Precious AchiuwaUnsigned — rotational forward depth lost
Departed (FA)Cameron PayneUnsigned — backup guard depth
Departed (FA)P.J. TuckerUnsigned — veteran minimum forward
Departed (FA)Delon WrightUnsigned — backup guard depth

The roster moves themselves were targeted and sensible. Yabusele was one of the best value signings of the summer — the Frenchman was a revelation for France in the 2024 Olympics and provides exactly the kind of physical, versatile forward play that New York's bench desperately lacked. Jordan Clarkson is the 6th Man of the Year winner (2021) the Knicks have been missing — a microwave scorer who can create his own shot and give Brunson legitimate rest without the offense cratering. At the minimum, Clarkson is a steal.

The Bridges extension (4yr/$150M) locks in a 29-year-old wing through his prime and signals the Knicks' commitment to the Brunson-Towns-Bridges-Anunoby-Hart core for the long haul. The departures — Achiuwa, Payne, Tucker, Wright — were all end-of-bench pieces that the Knicks replaced with higher-impact players. The real question is whether Mike Brown can take the same roster that reached the ECF and unlock an additional gear. If he gets more out of the bench, plays Towns and Robinson together more creatively, and modernizes the offense, this team has Finals potential.

2025-26 Analysis

Forward-Looking

The 2025-26 Knicks are a championship-or-bust proposition. This roster is built to win now — five starters in their primes, a significantly improved bench, a new head coach with a championship pedigree, and the organizational conviction that comes from being two wins away from the NBA Finals. The window is open, and the front office knows it.

Projected Starting Lineup

#PlayerPos2024-25 Key StatsRole
1Jalen BrunsonPG26.0 / 2.9 / 7.3, 48.8% FG, 38.3% 3PFranchise alpha, All-NBA floor general
2Mikal BridgesSG17.6 / 3.2 / 3.7, 46.1% FG, 36.8% 3P3-and-D wing, ironman connector
3OG AnunobySF16.4 / 4.8 / 2.2, 48.1% FG, 38.4% 3PElite perimeter defender, two-way wing
4Josh HartPF13.6 / 9.6 / 5.9, 52.5% FG, 33.3% 3PRebounding engine, emotional leader
5Karl-Anthony TownsC24.4 / 12.8 / 3.1, 52.6% FG, 36.5% 3PAll-Star center, stretch-five anchor

This starting five is one of the most complete in the NBA. Four of five starters shot above 36% from three in 2024-25, giving New York elite floor spacing around Brunson's pick-and-roll mastery. Anunoby and Bridges form arguably the best perimeter defensive wing tandem in the league — capable of switching 1-through-4 and neutralizing opposing stars. Towns provides the gravity of a 7-footer who can pop from three (36.5%) or dominate in the post. Hart's 9.6 rebounds as a 6'4" guard is the kind of effort-based production that elevates every lineup he's in. The only concern is rim protection — Hart at PF means the Knicks are undersized inside without Robinson, and Towns is not a natural shot-blocker.

Key Bench Players

PlayerPosAgeRole
Jordan ClarksonSG/PG33Instant offense, 6MOY pedigree, bench scoring anchor
Miles McBridePG/SG24Defensive combo guard, spot-up shooter (36.9% 3P)
Guerschon YabuselePF/C29Physical stretch-four, Olympic standout, Swiss Army knife
Mitchell RobinsonC27Elite rim protector — game-changer if healthy (17 GP in '24-25)
Pacome DadietSF/SG19Athletic wing, second-year development project
Tyler KolekPG23Backup point guard, facilitator, steady hand
Ariel HukportiC22Developmental big, energy reserve behind Robinson/Towns

This bench is dramatically improved from 2024-25. Clarkson gives New York something it hasn't had since the Derrick Rose days — a legitimate bench scorer who can create off the dribble and run pick-and-roll. Yabusele provides physicality, floor-spacing (35.2% 3P in his Olympic showcase), and the ability to play both forward spots. McBride continues to grow as a defensive menace and spot-up threat. The wild card is Mitchell Robinson: if he can stay healthy and give the Knicks 20-25 minutes per night of rim protection and offensive rebounding, the bench transforms from a liability into a strength. Mike Brown's willingness to play deeper rotations should keep the starters fresher for the playoffs — a direct response to the fatigue that plagued the 2024-25 postseason run.

Coaching & Scheme

Mike Brown replaces Tom Thibodeau with a fundamentally different coaching philosophy. Where Thibs was a grinder — short rotations, slow pace, half-court warfare — Brown is a modernizer. His Sacramento Kings teams played at a top-10 pace, and his time as a Golden State assistant exposed him to the motion-heavy, three-point-centric offense that has defined the NBA's best teams. Expect the Knicks to play faster this season — pushing the pace in transition, running more off-ball actions for Bridges and Anunoby, and using Towns as a pick-and-pop hub rather than a post-up anchor.

Defensively, Brown inherits elite personnel. Anunoby and Bridges give him two All-Defensive-caliber wings, Hart is a relentless on-ball pest, and McBride is one of the league's best perimeter defenders off the bench. The scheme should emphasize aggressive switching on the perimeter with more help-side rotations than Thibs employed. The critical test is whether Brown can integrate Robinson into the rotation alongside Towns — a twin-tower look that could solve the rim protection issue while maintaining offensive spacing. If Brown gets the defensive scheme right, this team has top-5 defense potential. If the transition to a new system creates early-season turbulence, the Knicks' championship window narrows.

Projection

Projection systems see the 2025-26 Knicks as a 52-54 win team with legitimate championship upside — a consensus top-4 contender in the NBA and the clear favorites in both the Atlantic Division and the Eastern Conference race. The range of outcomes is narrow for a team this talented; the question isn't whether the Knicks are good, but whether they're elite.

SystemProjected WinsNotes
ESPN BPI~52-54Top 3-4 in NBA; improved bench depth factored in
BetMGM Win Total52.5Over -125 / Under +100
DraftKings51.5Slightly lower; coaching transition discount
FanDuel / Consensus53.5Over -105 / Under -115 — sharp money on the over
BetMGM Wins O/U
52.5
Consensus Wins
~53
Playoff Odds
~99%
ECF Odds
~40%
Championship
+1100

The 52.5 win total at BetMGM is the sharpest number on the board. The over requires the coaching change to produce immediate results — more ball movement, deeper rotations, and a fresher roster in April. The under is a bet on early-season turbulence as Brown installs a new system, potential regression from Brunson's 26.0 PPG peak, and the possibility that Robinson's health woes continue. Given that the core is intact and the bench is upgraded, the over feels like the sharper side.

The Betting Angle: The Knicks at +1100 to win the championship (BetMGM) represent the best value among Eastern Conference contenders. Cleveland at shorter odds has a lower ceiling; Boston is in transition without Tatum (Achilles). The Atlantic Division at -370 is too chalky to bet outright, but there's no realistic challenger — Philly and Boston are both dealing with significant roster questions. The Eastern Conference at +350 is the sweet spot: you're getting the conference favorites at almost 4-to-1. The Knicks' -10000 to make the playoffs is a virtual lock. For player props, watch Brunson's MVP odds (typically +1200-1500) and Towns' All-Star pricing — both represent legitimate value in what should be a career-year environment under Brown's offensive system.

Key Risks

1. Coaching Transition Growing Pains

Changing head coaches after an ECF run is a massive gamble. Mike Brown's system is fundamentally different from Thibodeau's — faster pace, more ball movement, deeper rotations. The first 20-30 games could feature inconsistency as the roster adapts. If the Knicks stumble early (say, 12-15 through 27 games), the seeding race in the East gets tight. New systems take time, and time is the one thing a win-now team can't afford to waste.

2. Mitchell Robinson's Health

Robinson played just 17 games in 2024-25 — his second straight season derailed by injuries. Without him, the Knicks lack a true rim protector, and the defense craters against physical big men. If Robinson misses another 50+ games, New York is relying on Hukporti and small-ball lineups to survive, which is not a championship formula against teams like Indiana or Cleveland.

3. Brunson Durability & Workload

Brunson's 65 games in 2024-25 were his fewest as a Knick. The offense is built around his creation — when he sits, the half-court attack lacks a primary initiator. If Brunson misses 20+ games or hits a mid-season wall (as he did in the ECF), the Knicks' championship ceiling drops dramatically. The addition of Clarkson helps, but no one on this roster can replicate what Brunson does.

4. Defensive Ceiling With Hart at PF

Hart's 9.6 RPG is heroic, but he's 6'4" playing power forward. Against elite frontcourts — Giannis, Siakam/Turner, Paolo Banchero — the size mismatch becomes a playoff liability. If Brown can't find the right big-man rotation to supplement Hart's minutes, the defense will remain mid-tier (14th in 2024-25), and mid-tier defense doesn't win titles.

5. Depth Beyond the Top 8

The starting five and top three reserves (Clarkson, McBride, Yabusele) are strong. After that, the roster thins out quickly — Dadiet is 19, Hukporti is a project, and Robinson is an injury risk. If two starters go down simultaneously, the Knicks are in trouble. The franchise has no remaining draft capital to trade for mid-season reinforcements, and the tax bill limits buyout-market additions.

Key Upside Scenarios

1. Mike Brown Unlocks the Offense

Brown's motion-heavy, pace-pushing system could elevate the Knicks from a top-5 offense to the league's best. More off-ball movement for Bridges and Anunoby, faster pace to get Towns easy baskets in transition, and a Brunson-centric pick-and-roll attack with better spacing — if it all clicks, New York's offensive rating could jump from 118.5 to 120+, making them virtually unguardable.

2. Robinson Returns to Form

A healthy Mitchell Robinson transforms this defense. His rim protection (1.9 BPG career average), offensive rebounding, and ability to play next to Towns gives the Knicks a lethal twin-tower option. If Robinson plays 60+ games and anchors 20-25 minutes of elite interior defense, New York's defensive rating could leap from 14th to top-5 — and a top-5 defense paired with a top-5 offense is a championship formula.

3. Bridges' Year-2 Knicks Breakout

Bridges averaged 17.6 PPG in his first Knicks season while adjusting to a new team. In Year 2, fully integrated and in a more motion-based offense under Brown, Bridges could push toward 20 PPG with elite efficiency. His durability (hasn't missed a game in three seasons) means he'll be there every night, and an offensive leap makes this starting five historically potent.

4. Clarkson & Yabusele Fix the Bench

The 2024-25 bench was the Knicks' Achilles heel. Clarkson's shot creation (18.4 PPG career with Utah) and Yabusele's physical versatility could flip the bench from a liability into a weapon. If the second unit holds serve while starters rest — even going +0 or +1 per game — the Knicks gain 3-5 wins and enter the playoffs with fresh legs instead of exhausted ones.

5. Weakened Eastern Conference

Boston lost Jayson Tatum to an Achilles injury — the defending champions are suddenly in transition. Philadelphia's Joel Embiid remains a perennial health concern. Milwaukee is aging. The East's traditional power structure has a vacuum at the top, and the Knicks are the most stable, deepest, and healthiest contender positioned to fill it. A 55-58 win season and the No. 1 seed are within reach if the East breaks right.

Atlantic Division Landscape

Team2025-26 Proj. WinsDivision OddsKey Factor
New York Knicks52-54-370Championship core intact, new coach, upgraded bench
Philadelphia 76ers40-43+700Embiid health gamble; Paul George's fit still uncertain
Boston Celtics40-42+950Tatum Achilles injury; Jaylen Brown must carry the load
Toronto Raptors35-38+1600Youth development, Scottie Barnes as franchise centerpiece
Brooklyn Nets20-22+30,000Full rebuild, lottery-bound, minimal veteran talent

The Atlantic Division is the Knicks' division to lose — and it isn't close. The -370 odds (implied 79% probability) reflect a simple truth: New York's core is the healthiest, most talented, and most stable in the division, while every rival is dealing with significant uncertainty.

Philadelphia remains the most dangerous challenger, but the Embiid question hangs over everything. When healthy, the Sixers have a top-10 player and a legitimate second star in Paul George — but "when healthy" has been the Philly caveat for years. Boston's regression is the story of the East. Jayson Tatum's Achilles injury is devastating, and the defending champions traded away key pieces (Holiday, Porziņģis). Jaylen Brown and Derrick White can still win games, but this is no longer a championship roster. Toronto is in the growth phase — Scottie Barnes is a future All-Star, but the supporting cast needs time. Brooklyn is in full teardown mode, projected for 20-22 wins and a top lottery pick.

For the Knicks, the weakened division is both an opportunity and a trap. The opportunity: home-court advantage through the Eastern Conference playoffs is there for the taking. The trap: complacency. The real competition for the No. 1 seed comes from Cleveland, not the Atlantic — and the Cavs will be hungry after their own 2024-25 disappointment.

Impact Players

6 Key Names

These six players will most directly determine whether the 2025-26 Knicks are a Conference Finals team, an NBA Finals team, or a championship team. The margin between those outcomes is razor-thin.

Jalen Brunson

PG
The franchise. His 26.0 PPG / 7.3 APG made him a top-5 offensive player in the NBA. Everything starts and ends with Brunson — the pick-and-roll, the clutch scoring, the leadership. He's the reason the Knicks are contenders.
Bull Case
28/8 in Brown's system, MVP top-3, leads Knicks to 55+ wins and the Finals — the best PG in the East
Bear Case
Durability concern (65 GP last year), post-ECF fatigue, usage regression — 23/6 with nagging injuries limits ceiling

Karl-Anthony Towns

C
The trade acquisition that transformed the franchise. Towns' 24.4/12.8 with 36.5% from three gave New York its best center since Ewing. In Brown's up-tempo system, Towns should get even more transition opportunities.
Bull Case
26/13 with improved defense, All-NBA selection — Brunson-Towns becomes the best duo in the East
Bear Case
Defensive limitations exposed in playoffs again; gets hunted in switches, 3P% dips below 34%

OG Anunoby

SF
The defensive anchor. OG's ability to guard 1-through-4 at an All-Defensive level while shooting 38.4% from three makes him one of the most valuable two-way players in basketball. His health is the variable.
Bull Case
18/5/3, All-Defensive Team, plays 72+ games — the Pippen to Brunson's Jordan in the Knicks' title formula
Bear Case
Misses 20+ games again, defensive impact diminished, 13/4 in limited action — max contract scrutiny intensifies

Mikal Bridges

SG
The $150M man. Bridges' durability, 3-and-D profile, and connector skills make him the perfect complement to Brunson and Towns. Year 2 in New York, fully locked in with the extension, should be his best Knicks season.
Bull Case
20/4/4, 39% from three, All-Defensive selection — justifies the extension as a true third star
Bear Case
Plateaus at 16/3/3, efficiency dips, overpaid as a complementary piece — $37.5M/yr for a role player

Josh Hart

PF
The soul of the team. Hart's 13.6/9.6/5.9 line as an undersized PF is unlike anything else in the league. His hustle, rebounding, and playmaking elevate every lineup — but the size mismatch is a playoff concern.
Bull Case
15/10/6, triple-double machine, emotional engine carries Knicks deep — the ultimate winning player
Bear Case
Size exposed in playoffs vs. elite PFs, 3P% stays below 34%, defensive liability against frontcourt-heavy teams

Mitchell Robinson

C
The X-factor nobody is pricing in. Robinson's rim protection is elite — when he played in 2024-25, the Knicks' defense jumped 5+ points per 100 possessions. Health is the only question, but if he answers it, the championship equation changes.
Bull Case
60+ games, 8/8 with 2.0 BPG, defense jumps to top-5 — the missing piece that makes the Knicks champions
Bear Case
Another 15-20 game season, can't stay on the court — the Knicks' rim protection void persists for the third straight year

Bottom Line

The 2025-26 Knicks are the most complete team New York has fielded in over two decades. Five elite starters. A dramatically improved bench. A new head coach with championship DNA. And a weakened Eastern Conference that has a vacuum at the top. The projection systems see 52-54 wins with a ~99% chance of making the playoffs, a ~40% shot at the Conference Finals, and a legitimate path to the NBA Finals. The floor is a 48-win second-round exit. The ceiling is 56 wins, the No. 1 seed, and a championship parade down Broadway.

Win Total O/U
52.5
BetMGM · Over -125
Atlantic Division
-370
Massive favorite
Championship
+1100
BetMGM · Top 4 in NBA
Make Playoffs
-10000
Virtual lock

For bettors, the Knicks are the Eastern Conference's best value play. The championship at +1100 offers top-4 odds for a team that was two wins from the Finals and upgraded its coaching and bench. The Eastern Conference at +350 is the sharpest bet on the board — you're getting nearly 4-to-1 on the conference favorites in a year where Boston is wounded and Philly is unreliable. The win total over 52.5 (-125) is worth a look if you believe Brown's system produces immediate dividends and the bench upgrade translates to 2-3 extra wins. The division at -370 is dead money — the juice isn't worth the squeeze on a bet that pays 27 cents on the dollar. The real story this season is simple: can Brunson, Towns, Bridges, Anunoby, and Hart do what no Knicks core has done since 1973 — bring a championship back to Madison Square Garden? The talent says yes. The depth says yes. The coaching change is the variable. If Mike Brown gets this right, the Knicks won't just contend — they'll be the team to beat.